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Durov's Move Fuels TON Rally

Durov's Move Fuels TON Rally

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

Toncoin (TON) experienced a remarkable surge, climbing over 50% in a week. This rally follows news of Telegram founder Pavel Durov's move from France to Dubai.

TON/USDT weekly price chart
TON/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

TON Price Analysis: A Bullish Outlook?

After reaching a yearly low of $2.35, TON’s rebound has caught the attention of traders. Analyst Crypto Patel identified a "great entry zone" for long-term investors, noting the price "perfectly bounced" from its support level around $2.50. This support aligns with the $2.40-$3.00 range that acted as resistance in previous periods.

TON/USDT weekly price chart
TON/USDT weekly price chart. Source: TradingView/Crypto Patel

A sustained rebound could push TON towards its descending trendline resistance, potentially reaching $5 by June or July. Analyst Profit Mind’s falling wedge setup suggests a possible price increase to $6 if the upper trendline is broken. Crypto Billion also anticipates a bullish reversal, citing an oversold Relative Strength Index (RSI).

TON/USDT daily price chart
TON/USDT daily price chart. Source: TradingView
Source: Crypto Billion
Source: Crypto Billion

Further supporting the bullish sentiment, Toncoin’s 180-day average Sharpe ratio dropped below -25, historically preceding bullish reversals.

TON Sharpe ratio (180 days). Source: CryptoQuant
TON Sharpe ratio (180 days). Source: CryptoQuant

Derivatives Market: A Mixed Picture

Open interest (OI) in TON futures has surged to approximately $169.12 million, indicating increased activity. However, negative funding rates suggest prevalent short positions and bearish sentiment. A significant price movement either way could trigger substantial liquidations.

TON Futures’ OI and funding rates. Source: CoinGlass
TON Futures’ OI and funding rates. Source: CoinGlass
Bybit TON/USDT 30-day liquidation map
Bybit TON/USDT 30-day liquidation map (as of March 16). Source: Coinglass

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions.

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