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Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Surges Amid ETF Buzz, $1.6B Sell-Off

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Surges Amid ETF Buzz, $1.6B Sell-Off

Markets

Dogecoin ETF Hype Fuels Price Rally Despite $1.6 Billion Selling

Dogecoin (DOGE) has experienced a significant price surge recently, driven by growing anticipation surrounding a potential Dogecoin ETF launch. The meme coin has steadily climbed, but this rally coincides with substantial selling activity from various investors, including major holders.

Despite this profit-taking, the bullish trend has largely persisted, keeping Dogecoin in the spotlight.

Dogecoin Holders Take Profits

Data indicates a sharp increase in the amount of Dogecoin held on exchanges this month, suggesting investors are positioning to sell. Since early September, approximately 5.81 billion DOGE, valued at over $1.63 billion, have been moved to exchanges. This reflects increased caution among traders, even with the excitement surrounding a possible ETF approval.

The price rally, spurred by ETF optimism, has created a favorable environment for investors to secure gains. While this selling pressure hasn't yet reversed Dogecoin's upward trajectory, it raises concerns about the sustainability of the rally. Increased profit-taking could weaken the recent bullish momentum in the coming days.

Dogecoin Exchange Balance
Dogecoin Exchange Balance. Source: Glassnode

The coin days destroyed (CDD) indicator signals an emerging risk for Dogecoin. For the first time in over a month, long-term holders have been moving their assets. Historically, such activity can suggest that influential holders are preparing to offload DOGE, often a bearish signal.

Previously, long-term holders provided stability by largely avoiding selling. Their recent activity highlights a potential weakness in the market. If these wallets begin liquidating their holdings, the resulting selling pressure could challenge Dogecoin's price gains and diminish confidence, regardless of the strong ETF-related optimism.

Dogecoin CDD
Dogecoin CDD. Source: Glassnode

DOGE Price Hinges on ETF Launch

Dogecoin is currently trading around $0.282, representing a 17% increase over the past week. The meme coin is positioned just below the $0.287 resistance level and is attempting to maintain $0.273 as a crucial support level, which will likely define its short-term outlook.

If exchange inflows and continued profit-taking negatively impact momentum, DOGE could lose $0.273 as support. A breakdown below this level would expose the price to a potential decline toward $0.241, signaling a reversal of the recent rally and prompting caution among traders.

DOGE Price Analysis. DOGE Price Analysis.
DOGE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, as Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted, should the DOGE ETF launch proceed, market sentiment could quickly shift. In that scenario, Dogecoin could surge past $0.287 and test $0.300, potentially extending even higher and negating any bearish outlook linked to the current selling pressure.

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