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Coinbase Stock Surge: $600 Potential?

Coinbase Stock Surge: $600 Potential?

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

Coinbase Stock Price Rally: A Technical Analysis

Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) stock recently climbed to $380, a level not seen since its Nasdaq debut in April 2021. This significant rebound from its 2022 low of $31.55 has sparked considerable interest among investors and analysts alike.

This recovery has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders (H&S) pattern on the weekly chart, a bullish technical indicator often preceding sustained price increases. This pattern suggests the potential for a prolonged uptrend, potentially pushing COIN prices above $600.

Understanding Inverse Head-and-Shoulders Patterns

An inverse H&S pattern is characterized by three troughs: the middle trough is the lowest, representing peak bearish sentiment, while the other two are shallower and roughly equidistant. Increased volume typically accompanies the shallower right shoulder, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards buying. A confirmed bullish trend occurs once the price breaks above the neckline—a line connecting the recoveries between the troughs. Volume usually drops during pattern formation and increases as completion nears.

Technical analysts frequently use the "measured move" method to estimate potential price increases. This involves adding the distance between the neckline and the lowest point of the pattern to the breakout point.

COIN's Breakout and Potential

COIN's price recently surpassed the neckline resistance and has since established a base above it. The measured move method, applied to COIN's chart, suggests a potential rally to $660.

It's notable that trading volume remained low during the formation of the deepest trough (the "head") in 2022-23, picking up noticeably in April as the right shoulder neared completion.

This bullish technical outlook aligns with the positive sentiment expressed by many fundamental analysts. Oppenheimer, for instance, recently raised its COIN price target to $395 from $293, maintaining an "outperform" rating.

Coinbase's weekly price chart in the candlestick format. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risk.

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