XRP ETF Speculation: Is BlackRock Eyeing Ripple After Legal Win?
Ripple's Legal Win Fuels BlackRock XRP ETF Rumors
Following the resolution of the long-standing legal dispute between Ripple and the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), speculation is growing about a potential XRP exchange-traded fund (ETF). Some industry observers suggest that BlackRock, a leading global asset manager, might be considering an XRP ETF application.
The positive outcome of the Ripple-SEC case has boosted XRP's price and potentially increased the likelihood of ETF approval.
Could BlackRock Launch an XRP ETF?
With appeals dismissed on August 7th, the focus shifts to XRP's future.
Nate Geraci, President of NovaDius Wealth Management, proposed on X (formerly Twitter) that BlackRock might explore an ‘iShares XRP ETF’ after the lawsuit's conclusion.
“I’ll own it if I’m wrong. IMO, makes *zero* sense for them to ignore crypto assets beyond BTC and ETH,”
Geraci argues that limiting BlackRock's focus to Bitcoin and Ethereum would imply that only these two cryptocurrencies hold value.
However, Bloomberg's senior ETF analyst, Eric Balchunas, expressed a different opinion.
“I just think they are happy w the two. Law of diminish returns from here on out. But again I’ve nothing to go on but my own spidey sense here,”
While opinions on BlackRock's potential XRP involvement are divided, an ETF application from the firm could significantly benefit XRP. BlackRock already manages leading Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) and the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA), making it a major player in the crypto ETF market.
BlackRock's backing could lend credibility and institutional support to XRP, potentially attracting more investors and increasing market adoption. Several other firms have already filed for XRP ETFs.
Major asset managers, including Bitwise, 21Shares, Canary Capital, Grayscale, Franklin Templeton, ProShares, and WisdomTree, have also submitted applications to launch XRP ETFs.
XRP Price Surge and Increased ETF Approval Odds
Regardless of BlackRock's plans, the Ripple-SEC outcome has increased the probability of an XRP ETF being approved. Polymarket data indicates an 87% probability of an XRP ETF approval by December 2025.
The odds had previously dipped to 62% following SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw's opposition to crypto ETF approvals.
“Interesting, trades reporting how Polymarket odds of XRP ETF approval went down to 62% after the votes were disclosed, showing Crenshaw voting no, but a) she’s gonna vote no on EVERYTHING and b) it’s meaningless, she’s outnumbered = we haven’t changed our odds, still at 95%,”
Lone Democrat @SECGov commissioner Caroline Crenshaw is sending a clear message: she remains firmly opposed to crypto ETFs. https://t.co/NT4gCLH2k9
— Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) August 7, 2025
XRP's price has also responded positively, increasing by 11.4%, the largest gain among top 10 cryptocurrencies.
At the time of writing, XRP's trading price was $3.32.