Bitcoin's Next Surge: Is a 30% Price Rebound Imminent?

Bitcoin Poised for Potential Price Surge

Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a 7.50% dip after reaching a high of around $123,250. However, analysts suggest this pullback may be a precursor to a significant rally toward $150,000.

Key Points:

• Bitcoin's bounce at the 50-day EMA aligns with a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern, potentially targeting $148,000.
• Significant profit-taking by long-term Bitcoin holders, including a substantial selloff by an old whale, often precedes a recovery phase.

Critical Moving Average Holds Firm

Bitcoin successfully reclaimed its 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) as support. This level has historically acted as a launchpad for upward price movements. For instance, a brief dip below the 50-day EMA in June was followed by a 25% surge.

Analyst BitBull suggests a similar pattern may be forming. Even a drop to the $110,000–$112,000 range could establish a strong bottom, paving the way for further gains.

Technical Breakout Targets $148,000

The 50-day EMA support coincides with the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders (IH&S) pattern. A successful retest of this neckline after a breakout is a classic bullish signal.

This suggests Bitcoin may be entering the continuation phase of its breakout, with the IH&S pattern projecting a move toward $148,250. This level is close to the $150,000 target anticipated by many analysts for late 2025.

Whale Activity Signals Bullish Continuation

Onchain data indicates that the recent price dip may be a setup for another major breakout. CryptoQuant data identifies three major waves of profit-taking by Bitcoin whales during the 2023–2025 bull market.

These profit-taking events were observed after:

• The launch of US spot ETFs in March 2024.
• Bitcoin breaking $100K post-Trump election in late 2024.
• A breakout over $120,000 in July 2025, triggering an 80,000 BTC selloff by a long-term holder.

According to CryptoQuant analysts, these cooling phases have historically paved the way for renewed accumulation and subsequent breakouts to new all-time highs.

"The data provides compelling evidence that the market is undergoing another cyclical cooling phase, consistent with prior waves that preceded periods of consolidation and later breakouts to higher prices."