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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential $138K Surge?

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential $138K Surge?

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) shows a weekly increase of roughly 1%, reflecting a balanced market. While analysts anticipate a quiet Easter weekend, opinions diverge on Bitcoin's next move.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

Network economist Timothy Peterson cites the US High Yield Index Effective Yield's 8%+ gain. Historically, this has correlated with Bitcoin price increases in 71% of cases within three months, averaging a 31% gain. Based on this, Peterson forecasts Bitcoin to trade between $75,000 and $138,000 within 90 days. However, Bloomberg's Mike McGlone suggests a potential drop towards the 200-week simple moving average (~$46,000).

Crypto Market Data
Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

Key Support and Resistance Levels:

  • Support: $78,500, $73,777
  • Resistance: $88,098, $95,000, $100,000

Bitcoin currently trades above the 20-day EMA ($83,704) but hasn't broken the 200-day SMA ($88,098). A fall below the 20-day EMA could trigger a drop to $78,500 and potentially $73,777. Conversely, surpassing the 200-day SMA might initiate a rally toward $95,000 and beyond.

BTC/USDT Daily Chart
BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BTC/USDT 4-hour Chart
BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Altcoin Analysis: BNB, HYPE, TAO, RNDR

Several altcoins show interesting price action. Their performance could be influenced by Bitcoin's price movements.

BNB Price Analysis:

BNB faces resistance at its downtrend line; however, the moving averages are flattening, and the RSI is near the midpoint, suggesting a balance. Breaking above the downtrend line could push BNB/USDT toward $644, while a fall below $576 might prolong its range-bound trading.

BNB/USDT Daily Chart
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
BNB/USDT 4-hour Chart
BNB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

HYPE Price Analysis:

HYPE surpassed the $17.35 resistance on April 19th, but faces selling pressure. Further upward movement could lead to $21 and $25. A fall below $17.35 would target the 20-day EMA ($15.32).

HYPE/USDT Daily Chart
HYPE/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
HYPE/USDT 4-hour Chart
HYPE/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

TAO Price Analysis:

TAO broke above moving averages but faces resistance at its downtrend line. Support lies at the 20-day EMA ($249); a bounce could lead to $360. Breaking below the 20-day EMA could drop TAO/USDT to $222.

TAO/USDT Daily Chart
TAO/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
TAO/USDT 4-hour Chart
TAO/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

RNDR Price Analysis:

RNDR broke above the $4.22 resistance, potentially forming a bullish double bottom. A close above this level targets $5.94. Support lies at the 20-day EMA ($3.72); breaking below could lead to $2.50.

RNDR/USDT Daily Chart
RNDR/USDT daily chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
RNDR/USDT 4-hour Chart
RNDR/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Disclaimer: This article does not provide financial advice. Conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.

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