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Bitcoin Traders Reduce Leverage by $2B Before Fed Decision

Bitcoin Traders Reduce Leverage by $2B Before Fed Decision

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Bitcoin Traders Scale Back Exposure Ahead of Fed Rate Decision

Bitcoin (BTC) traders are reducing their positions before the U.S. Federal Reserve's upcoming policy announcement. On-chain data reveals reduced leverage and sustained buying interest around the $115,000 price point.

Derivatives Market Shows Caution

  • Open Interest Decline: Bitcoin futures open interest has decreased by $2 billion in the last five days, falling from $42 billion to below $40 billion.
  • Low Trading Volume: Aggregate futures volume is low, indicating a lack of aggressive positions as traders await clarity from the Fed.
  • Funding Rate Downward Trend: Funding rates, which reflect the cost of holding perpetual futures positions, are declining.
Bitcoin aggregated open interest, futures volume, and funding rate data
Bitcoin aggregated open interest, futures volume, and funding rate data. Source: Coinalyze

Binance Taker Volume Suggests Sideline Market

Crypto analyst Maartunn notes that hourly net taker volume on Binance has dropped below $50 million, significantly lower than the typical $150 million average. This suggests that market participants are waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision before committing new capital.

Bitcoin Net Taker Volume on Binance
Bitcoin Net Taker Volume on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Coinbase Premium Indicates Steady U.S. Demand at $115,000

Despite the caution in the derivatives market, spot demand on Coinbase remains strong. The Coinbase premium, which measures the price difference between Bitcoin on Coinbase and other exchanges, has been steadily increasing. This suggests strong U.S. investor demand, defending the $115,000 level.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium
Bitcoin Coinbase Premium. Source: CryptoQuant

Market Sentiment Balances Caution and Confidence

The Bitcoin Bull Score has rebounded to a neutral 50, indicating easing selling pressure. The Bitcoin Risk Index, which gauges the likelihood of pullbacks, is at 23%, near cycle lows, suggesting a calmer market environment with reduced liquidation risk.

Bitcoin Risk Index 3Y
Bitcoin Risk Index 3Y. Source: Axel Adler Jr/X
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