Altcoin Season 2025: When Will the Next Altcoin Rally Begin?
Altcoin Season 2025: When Will the Next Altcoin Rally Begin?
The anticipated altcoin season of 2025 has yet to materialize. The altcoin season index, a key indicator of altcoin market momentum, has remained neutral since December 2024, signaling neither a Bitcoin nor an altcoin-dominated market.
Bitcoin Dominance and the Lack of Altcoin Momentum
A significant factor hindering altcoin growth is the rise in Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), which has climbed back to over 58% since late December 2024. Historically, altcoin rallies occur when BTC.D declines, allowing capital to flow into alternative cryptocurrencies. The current high BTC.D suggests investors are favoring Bitcoin over riskier altcoin investments.
Furthermore, the USDT dominance (USDT.D) remains stagnant within the 3.7% - 4.5% range, mirroring the sideways movement of the altcoin market. This lack of volatility indicates a subdued speculative interest in altcoins.

Source: BlockChain Center

Source: Altcoin season performance, TradingView
What Needs to Happen for an Altcoin Rally?
- A Decline in BTC.D: A drop in Bitcoin dominance is crucial for shifting investor attention and capital towards altcoins.
- Increased Speculative Interest: A decrease in USDT.D would indicate higher risk appetite and a greater influx of funds into the altcoin market.
While some altcoins like Solana (SOL) have shown modest gains, the overall altcoin market remains largely stagnant. The situation necessitates a significant shift in market dynamics.
External Factors Influencing the Altcoin Market
Several external factors also influence the market's direction. The upcoming Fed rate decision next week, and the Trump administration’s yet-to-be-released pro-crypto policy updates are key considerations.
Expert Opinion: Potential for Altcoin Growth in 2025
Crypto analyst TechDev, referencing historical patterns, anticipates strong altcoin market growth in 2025. His observation suggests a potential 10-month expansion period, following previous similar signals.

Source: X
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and investments carry significant risk.
Codeum: Your Partner in Blockchain Security
At Codeum, we offer comprehensive blockchain security and development services, including smart contract audits, KYC verification, custom smart contract and DApp development, tokenomics and security consultation, and partnerships with launchpads and crypto agencies. Contact us to learn how we can help secure your blockchain project.